But What Should the Fed Actually Do?
What kind of monetary policy should the Fed follow? Scott Sumner has
long argued that the Fed should set a target for nominal GDP—that is,
GDP before corrections for inflation—and follow it come hell or high
water. This has recently gotten some high-profile endorsements,
including one recently from a Goldman Sachs team. And Paul Krugman recently gave the NGDP forces a boost on his blog:
And one thing the market monetarists may have been right about is the usefulness of focusing on nominal GDP. As far as I can see, the underlying economics is about expected inflation; but stating the goal in terms of nominal GDP may nonetheless be a good idea, largely as a selling point, since it (a) is easier to make the case that we’ve fallen far below where we should be and (b) doesn’t sound so scary and anti-social.
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