Digby: CW ON CT

In case anybody's wondering what the conventional wisdom on the Lamont-Lieberman race is, check out this TV report from Chris Matthews on MSNBC:

Chris Matthews: The Connecticut senate race was called a political weathervane suggesting that Ned Lamont's anti-war win would blow away suporters of the president's tactics in Iraq. So why is Lieberman running ahead in the polls right now? NBC's Chris Jansing is following the race up in West Hartford.

Chris, so what's wrong? Can't Lamont get the Democratic vote?

CJ: He can't get any votes right now. And this is a surprise, most people thought that he was going to be the golden boy, but there's a couple of reasons this whole Iraq referendum isn't working. It was the number one issue for voters in the primary, now only 35%. For those for whom the war is the number one issue, they go Lamont. Every other area, voters are going for Lieberman.