April 17, 2013
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The following is an excerpt from the new book Nuclear War and Environmental Catastrophe ,
by Noam Chomsky and Laray Polk, which takes the form of a series of
interviews with MIT Professor Noam Chomsky (Seven Stories, 2013).
Laray Polk:What immediate tensions do you perceive that could lead to nuclear war? How close are we?
Noam Chomsky:Actually,
nuclear war has come unpleasantly close many times since 1945. There
are literally dozens of occasions in which there was a significant
threat of nuclear war. There was one time in 1962 when it was very
close, and furthermore, it’s not just the United States. India and
Pakistan have come close to nuclear war several times, and the issues
remain. Both India and Pakistan are expanding their nuclear arsenals
with US support. There are serious possibilities involved with Iran—not
Iranian nuclear weapons, but just attacking Iran—and other things can
just go wrong. It’s a very tense system, always has been. There are
plenty of times when automated systems in the United States— and in
Russia,it’s probably worse—have warned of a nuclear attack which would
set off an automatic response except that human intervention happened to
take place in time, and sometimes in a matter of minutes. That’s
playing with fire. That’s a low-probability event, but with
low-probability events over a long period, the probability is not low.
There
is another possibility that, I think, is not to be dismissed: nuclear
terror. Like a dirty bomb in New York City, let’s say. It wouldn’t take
tremendous facility to do that. I know US intelligence or people like
Graham Allison at Harvard who works on this, they regard it as very
likely in the coming years—and who knows what kind of reaction there
would be to that. So, I think there are plenty of possibilities. I think
it is getting worse. Just like the proliferation problem is getting
worse. Take a couple of cases: In September 2009, the Security Council
did pass a resolution, S/RES/1887, which was interpreted here as a
resolution against Iran. In part it was, but it also called on all
states to join the Non-Proliferation Treaty. That’s three states: India,
Pakistan, and Israel. The Obama administration immediately informed
India that this didn’t apply to them; it informed Israel that it doesn’t
apply to them.